DOOMSDAY

¶* war / military conflict

    1:
        a) classic (international)
        b) non-classic (class war, race war, etc)

    2:
        * skirmishes
        * asymetric strikes
        * [...]
    ______________
    https://www.cfr.org/interactive/global-conflict-tracker
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts
    https://peacekeeping.un.org/en/where-we-operate


https://csis.carto.com/builder/20149366-a13e-11e6-9c96-0e3ff518bd15
NATO & Russian missile ranges

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aay5478
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVmI0tWrVGY
If India and Pakistan go to (nuclear) war, we're doomed enough already

¶* capitalism  / stock market crash

:
    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/08/investing/stock-dow-futures-coronavirus/index.html
    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/08/dow-futures-drop-700-points-as-all-out-oil-price-war-adds-to-coronavirus-stress.html
    _______________
    ???:
        * Biggest stock exchanges & good trackers to watch?:
            NYSE (New York)
            Dow Jones industrial average
            Nasdaq composite
            S&P
            London
            Nikkei
        * What's up with these "breakers"? And other scenario peculiarities?:
            https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/09/sp-500-futures-are-frozen-after-tanking-5percent-heres-what-happens-when-circuit-breakers-kick-in.html
            """Level 3: If the S&P 500 falls 20%, trading would halt for the remainder of the day."""
        * [...]

European Stoxx 600
"""
The STOXX Europe 600 Index is derived from the STOXX Europe Total Market Index (TMI) and is a subset of the STOXX Global 1800 Index.
"""
###

¶* pandemic
:
    (coronavirus)
    ____________________
    * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic (6-stage classification, ...
    * [...]

¶* global extreme weather event

???
* https://meteo.arso.gov.si/met/sl/warning/ (for Slovenia)
* (informing) how would a person be warned ahead of a weather event?:
    sound alarms?
    how to pre-prepare?
    text messages on your phone (RCB alerts in Poland)

the power of VOLCANOS!

¶* basic resource prices & crisis
:
    * prices!
    * supply/demand
    * shortages?
    * storage levels (max/normal/below minimum)
    * ... and capacity of storage (days at normal/rationed use!)
    __________________
    * food
    * gas
    * oil
    * bottled water
    * uranium
    * industrial matals
    * ###



________________________

* ($$) https://www.refinitiv.com

* https://www.powernext.com/spot-market-data :
    unit = €/MWh

* https://ycharts.com/indicators/europe_natural_gas_price :
    unit = "USD per Million Btu"
    20220302 :
        ~30 $/mmbtu
        $/mmbtu → eur/1000m3 : ???

* (TTF, a "dutch reference price"):
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TTF%3DF/
    https://www.theice.com/products/27996665/Dutch-TTF-Gas-Futures/data?marketId=5360399
    unit = €/tonne

* https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/natural-gas :
    unit = $/mmbtu
    """MMBtu is acronym for Metric Million British Thermal Unit, and it is a unit traditionally used to measure heat content or energy value. It is widely associated with measurement of natural gas in the energy terms globally."""
    1 mmbtu = 28.3278 Cubic metres (m³)
    1000 m3 = ~35 mmbtu
    -------------
    source: "The NYMEX Division natural gas futures contract is widely used as a national benchmark price" ??
        [!!] this seems out of place for EU prices — how to check for specific market, like EU?

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_prices

* https://www.europeangashub.com/most-gas-that-transits-ukraine-goes-to-the-italian-market.html :
    Italy case.
    Shows storage: ~60 (end of season in April) to 180 (start in October) TWh

https://www.statista.com/statistics/949245/natural-gas-storage-capacity-in-italy/
Italy gas storage
unit = million standard m3
~

¶* global revolutions via self-organised activism

demonstrations, strikes, etc ?
→ 🔗struggling

¶news & social media

* [...]

¶primary

    * https://www.gdacs.org/ :
        UN + EU
        only natural disasters
        no pandemics, no wars !
        has feeds !
        ---------------------
        https://vosocc.unocha.org/
        https://www.gdacs.org/Knowledge/overview.aspx
        https://ec.europa.eu/knowledge4policy/online-resource/global-disaster-alert-coordination-system-gdacs_en
    
    * https://google.org/publicalerts

    * https://rsoe-edis.org/eventMap
    --------------
        too particular. missing forest for the trees.
        also, not nearly enough datapoints (=bad sourcing)
    -------------
    Seems to change names a lot, was:
        * "Havaria"
        * http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php :
        * http://geometrx.com/cgb/real-time-global-alert-map/

¶offline

* siren alerts

* GSM network alerts ###

¶cyber / communications / network infrastructure

    * https://cybermap.kaspersky.com/ : 
        with some hyper-psychedelic mode, i cannot reproduce right now (!?)
        zooming on a pulse to space, then some "notational velocity" view... #3d 3wtf
    * https://www.digitalattackmap.com/#anim=1&color=0&country=ALL&list=0&time=18328&view=map
    * https://threatmap.checkpoint.com/
    * https://www.fireeye.com/cyber-map/threat-map.html
    * https://explorer.ooni.org :
        check what is blocked, available, etc
    * [...]

¶new / unsorted / to check

* https://www.globalincidentmap.com/ :
    http://hazmat.globalincidentmap.com/map.php (mostly gas leaks)
    http://amberalerts.globalincidentmap.com/home.php
    [...]


* http://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/maps-and-graphics/2017/04/04/updated-mapped-world-war :
    (via https://www.wired.co.uk/article/war-map-conflict-death)
    "IRIN"


* https://geonode.wfp.org/adam.html :
     ADAM Automatic Disaster Analysis & Mapping:
         Earthquakes & Tropical storms
     by:
         WFP Emergency Preparedness and Support Response Division
         @Rome


* https://www.pdc.org/ :
    DisasterAWARE (R) ...


* http://www.tomdispatch.com/images/managed/costofwar_projectmap_large1.jpg :
    via https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/a-new-map-shows-the-alarming-spread-of-the-us-war-on-terror/
    via "costs of war" project


* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts


* https://www.wired.co.uk/article/terrorism-map-global


* https://www.dhs.gov/national-terrorism-advisory-system :
    NTAS ... huh, how to "use" ?


* long-term data aggregation:
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/worldwide-governance-indicators
so:
    * watch out for biases!:
        monitor them, and collude with "influence networks" / affinity
        World Bank is obviously problematic (USA president direct appointment, right?)
    * the low fidelity/granularity is basically a way to disassociate (and possibly manipulate) from cause-effect of bad politics changes:
        how to get a clear view on this?
        example: "Control of Corruption" in Slovenia during Right governments
    * [...]

________________

more via (2008! old):
    https://irevolutions.org/2008/07/08/crisis-mapping-and-data-visualization/
    https://irevolutions.org/2008/11/15/global-incident-map/
    https://irevolutions.org/2008/11/16/crisis-mappers-meeting/
    https://irevolutions.org/2008/06/23/crisis-mapping-analytics-and-pattern-recognition/
    https://irevolutions.org/2009/10/11/evolving-a-global-system-of-info-webs/ [!!] NICE
    ###
this is:
    +pateric.meier
    https://twitter.com/PatrickMeier
    @Lausanne, Switzerland
"""
Everything needs to change | ED @WeRobotics
 | EE @NatGeo
 | Book http://Digital-Humanitarians.com | Speaker 200+talks | Global South born & raised | PhD @FletcherSchool
"""
    ----------
    seems very connected to #THL
newer:
    https://irevolutions.org/2017/06/07/crisis-mapping-future/
    http://digital-humanitarians.com/ :
        → #BOOK #TOREAD
        ties a lot to 🔗positive-prediction !!!

-------------------------------
"""
Making sense of this data is admittedly no small feat. But initiatives such as Sense Networks, a new software company in New York, is seeking to do just that. The company recently released Macrosense, “a tool that applies complex statistical algorithms to sift through the growing heaps of data about location and to make predictions or recommendations on various questions…” (3). We’re note quite there yet vis-a-vis conflict analysis, but the concept of crisis mapping is becoming increasingly talked about in the humanitarian technology community. Crisis mapping is also gaining donor attention, as evidenced by the momentum behind Ushahidi.
"""
---------------
* https://www.healthmap.org/en/
------------
"""
As always, my interest in such platforms (including Ushahidi, Humanitarian SensorWeb, etc)., is their:

1. Viability in conflict zones and places with minimal communications infrastructure;
2. Link to local, decentralized early response;
3. Actual impact on the ground.

"""
good point
#torss #tomeet

* https://www.ushahidi.com/
"Monitor, map and mobilize your community with Ushahidi We create technology solutions that empower communities to build a better world."

* (DOES NOT EXIST ANYMORE):
    "CrisisWire is a “self-aggregating website that pulls information on any disaster around the US and displays it on one page.” The project seeks to get information into the hands of the people that need it most."
via https://irevolutions.org/2008/11/14/crisiswire-goes-live/

* https://climatereanalyzer.org/ :
    weather / climate resource, including archives


__________ (closing 20210805)

* https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/operations/bangladesh/emergency-preparedness-working-group

* https://twitter.com/CrisisMappers !!!:
    http://crisismapping.ning.com/
    with (again!) https://twitter.com/patrickmeier
    with https://jenziemke.wordpress.com/

* https://blog.werobotics.org/2020/07/27/shifting-power-fl-org/ ?

* https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/ :
    doomsday clock
    "100 minutes to midnight"


* https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters

* https://www.dhs.gov/homeland-security-advisory-system :
    (historic, 2002-2011)

* https://liveuamap.com/en
military / foreign policy-focused map
(found during Ukraine crisis)


* https://climatechangetracker.org/
great #dashboard
-------------
also offer a livestream infochannel :)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOiZjaQZ18U


* https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
track excess mortality (in EU)


* upcoming (contested) elections, election polling/trends, power shifts/trajectories (short & mid term):
    ... and non-election governance dynamics
    ###


* is everything OK with the webservice? or "did I get hacked"?
https://downdetector.com/status/facebook/
https://metastatus.com/
... or just go on mastodon / twitter
↓

* how to lock own social media account?
there should be a separate/special password, similar to the one to cancel a bank card

[s!!*]
https://cancelthisclothingcompany.com/resources/
nice set of #OSINT resources
"""
Troop: A website and app dedicated to empowering retail investors by pooling shareholder voting power and shareholder activism to challenge the corporatocracy with activist campaigns in corporate elections. 
Market Screener: What I’ve found to be the most robust stock ownership and informational website with the capability to accurately report on international stocks. However, there is a limit on how many stocks you can view for free per day.
Yahoo Finance Ownership: If you want a free and easy way to see who owns a US based corporation’s stock- this will link you directly to the ‘Holders’ tab of Yahoo finance for Blackrock Inc(just for fun) which is also an adequate tool for other market research. Type in any company into the search bar at the top and then click on the ‘Holders’ tab to see what institutions own shares of that company.
Open Secrets: A website dedicated to tracking money in politics. See financial contributions, lobbying and more.
Open Payments: A website dedicated to exposing payments from private sector entities to the medical system.
The Global Economy: A website that can produce extremely customizable datasets of global financial data from a huge array of source data and can provide them in downloadable table format. Super interesting. Some services require payment I believe.
WikiSpooks: A decentralized wiki dedicated to deep politics and conspiracy theories. One of the coolest and most fascinating rabbit hole machines on the internet. Obviously, exercise careful judgement, check the cited sources and apply due skepticism to everything you read on here. But boy is it a fun time.
Wall Street on Parade: One of the last bastions of real journalism in the world today. Incredible investigative reporting and current events journalism on the financial industry and financial crime. A must follow for anyone that follows the money.
Finviz: Stock market insider buying and selling data as well as lots of other market analysis.
Quiver Quantitative: A website dedicated to tracking politicians’ stock buying and selling. Incredible resource for anyone trading in the markets.
Environmental Working Group- Skin Deep: The EWG is not perfect and more and more in recent years there is evidence that they may be somewhat compromised by money. However, it can still be a great starting point for researching chemicals in products and their safety profiles. Their Skin Deep database has information on the vast majority of chemicals you will find in your cosmetics and other products.
"""

* Nuclear bomb simulator
https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/

* The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS)
https://ncc.nesdis.noaa.gov/VIIRS/ 
"""
... is one of the key instruments onboard the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) spacecraft, which was successfully launched on October 28, 2011. The VIIRS nadir door was opened on November 21, 2011, which enables a new generation of operational moderate resolution-imaging capabilities following the legacy of the AVHRR on NOAA and MODIS on Terra and Aqua satellites. The VIIRS empowers operational environmental monitoring and numerical weather forecasting, with 22 imaging and radiometric bands covering wavelengths from 0.41 to 12.5 micrometers, providing the sensor data records for more than twenty environmental data records including clouds, sea surface temperature, ocean color, polar wind, vegetation fraction, aerosol, fire, snow and ice, vegetation, and other applications. Results from the on-orbit verification in the postlaunch check-out and intensive calibration and validation have shown that VIIRS is performing very well. 
"""
----------------
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/mapper
"near-realtime global map"
-----------
[!o*] (many more sensors, data, software, etc)

[!!]
live war:
    * tracking of armament mode launches (cruise, ballistic missiles, drones, etc)
    * ETA times (approx launch → assumed targets):
        ex "ballistic missiles are reported to reach X airspace and have dodges defences" —  ok, given curves, what does this mean for time?
    * arrivals
    * alerts (sirens, etc)
    * livestreams
    * forwards/clips/frags from sources (+ status semaphore)
    * suggested complications (+ semaphore)
#RS



<---------------- (new)+ SENSORS / MAPS / TRACKING ↑

¶* nothing shows Difference!

(current state vs "normal" ... just a bunch of points)
you would never know when SHTF because it's always going on

¶* ... especially true for cyber attacks

... I guess boomers (signing biz contracts) like world maps and pulsing lines, but, wtf
a bunch of blinking shit going in all directions is NOT a good #RS

¶* affinity pre-organization on the left is nonexistent

right/libertarian is more likely to "go to the woods"


<---------------------------- (new) COMMENTS ↑

¶[$] CASE CONFLICTS LIST: severity + quick explanation + trends + "what you can do"

via https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/07/ten-grim-lessons-the-world-has-learned-from-a-decade-of-war-in-syria

sanity check:
    what will show me in context:
        ______________ 2021 Q1
        * YEMEN
        * SYRIA
        * SADR
        ______________ 2021 Q2
        * Russia in all fronts (Belorussia, Ukraine, Armenia, Syria, *stan, etc)
        * Ethiopia
        * Yemen
        ________________
        * [...]

¶[$!!*] FIND MORE

* ask for feedback & suggestions:
    >vinay.gupta
    ###

* what's on appropedia, for example ?

* [...]

¶[$!] Case: La Palma eruption (202109xx)

* Got messages from several people
* we work all day, L gets message about "eruption and tsunamis"
* we stare at each other and try to figure out where to google to

[!!→] protocol:
    * turn on gsm notifications
    * inform about local alarm towers and other protocols
    * follow official emergency channels, including:
        * Twitter
        * ###
    * assume it would be over main TV and Radio channels:
        * follow: ???
    * ###

¶(Civil defense sirens)

per territory:
* what is the state of the siren system?
* what would the alerts mean?
* do they have replacements? do replacements rely on system that would (likely) fail?
* ###

¶... Distant siren in Antwerp? We have no idea

https://www.be-alert.be/
has nothing

________________
[!→]
A) if you emit this type of sound, you should be in a system
B) no? we troll

¶Refugees

https://www.unhcr.org/figures-at-a-glance.html

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1o2c_DursylqjnPYREAgYg7B2zOjjcx1hsqj_0Gemb1k/edit
Slovenia—Ukraine: crisis #resources collection:
    wow, includes MEDICAL and MILITARY !

¶(L:) ECOLOGY— Global Forest Watch

"""
* Global Forest Watch (GFW) is an online platform that provides data and tools for monitoring forests. By harnessing cutting-edge technology, GFW allows anyone to access near real-time information about where and how forests are changing around the world.
* Thousands of people around the world use GFW every day to monitor and manage forests, stop illegal deforestation and fires, call out unsustainable activities, defend their land and resources, sustainably source commodities, and conduct research at the forefront of conservation.
"""
→ https://www.globalforestwatch.org/

They have existing maps but you can also use the "mapbuilder"
How to use it → https://www.globalforestwatch.org/help/

¶Facebook "Crisis response" ("I'm safe") feature

"""
Info from NC4, an independent global crisis reporting agency. 
"""
###

¶EU Copernicus Emergency mapping

↓ENTER
https://emergency.copernicus.eu/mapping/#zoom=2&lat=30.24043&lon=1.52815&layers=00B0T

https://emergency.copernicus.eu/mapping/ems/what-copernicus
"""
Copernicus is an EU programme aimed at developing European information services based on satellite Earth Observation and in situ (non space) data.
Copernicus is implemented by the European Commission (EC) with the support from the European Space Agency (ESA) for the Space component and the European Environment Agency (EEA) for the in situ component.
The objective of Copernicus is to monitor and forecast the state of the environment on land, sea and in the atmosphere, in order to support climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies, the efficient management of emergency situations and the improvement of the security of every citizen. Information provided by Copernicus improves people's safety, e.g. by providing information on natural disasters such as forest fires or floods, and thus help to prevent the loss of lives and property, and damages to the environment.
Copernicus is a user driven programme and the information services provided are available to its Users, mostly public authorities, on a full, open and free-of-charge basis.
The Copernicus Programme is served by dedicated satellites (the Copernicus Sentinel families) and a set of additional Contributing Missions (satellites run by various commercial and national agencies). Since the launch of Sentinel-1A in 2014, the European Union set in motion a process to place a constellation of almost 20 more satellites in orbit before 2030. This satellite data is complemented by and validated with in situ data. 
Six Copernicus Services transform the full, free and open data into value-added information by processing and analyzing the data and transforming them into services and products such as informative maps and data sets: 

• The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service
• The Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service
• The Copernicus Land Monitoring Service
• The Copernicus Climate Change Service
• The Copernicus Emergency Management Service
• The Copernicus Security Service

"""

------------

https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/packages/cams/products/methane-forecasts
methane charts
#ecology #climate

¶[!!**] "Nearby excess news"

Brussels, end of Jan 2024
Thousands of tractors, blocking all roads, burning stuff
Achieving political successes
Go to take a piss, hear honking...

How close are they? 
How rare is this?
Should I go out and look at it?
Should I participate? How?:
    What might happen if enough choose to participate? 
    #coordination
###


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